Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003603 0.003777 0.003956 0.004152 0.004362 0.004580 0.004824
2025-02-02 0.003372 0.003644 0.003934 0.004267 0.004639 0.005045 0.005523
2025-02-09 0.003135 0.003454 0.003803 0.004216 0.004692 0.005229 0.005883
2025-02-16 0.002981 0.003336 0.003732 0.004212 0.004781 0.005439 0.006267
2025-02-23 0.002844 0.003224 0.003656 0.004190 0.004836 0.005602 0.006592
2025-03-02 0.002763 0.003170 0.003640 0.004231 0.004963 0.005850 0.007027
2025-03-09 0.002653 0.003072 0.003566 0.004195 0.004987 0.005968 0.007298
2025-03-16 0.002553 0.002983 0.003494 0.004156 0.005004 0.006071 0.007550
2025-03-23 0.002448 0.002882 0.003405 0.004089 0.004977 0.006115 0.007721
2025-03-30 0.002355 0.002792 0.003323 0.004027 0.004953 0.006157 0.007888
2025-04-06 0.002301 0.002749 0.003298 0.004035 0.005019 0.006319 0.008226
2025-04-13 0.002183 0.002620 0.003160 0.003890 0.004873 0.006187 0.008139
2025-04-20 0.002139 0.002585 0.003143 0.003906 0.004948 0.006364 0.008511
2025-04-27 0.002134 0.002601 0.003191 0.004010 0.005147 0.006723 0.009173
2025-05-04 0.002068 0.002535 0.003130 0.003963 0.005134 0.006779 0.009381
2025-05-11 0.002024 0.002495 0.003102 0.003960 0.005181 0.006922 0.009729
2025-05-18 0.001975 0.002449 0.003063 0.003939 0.005201 0.007026 0.010018
2025-05-25 0.001952 0.002435 0.003066 0.003977 0.005307 0.007260 0.010530
2025-06-01 0.001903 0.002385 0.003020 0.003944 0.005305 0.007331 0.010777
2025-06-08 0.001857 0.002337 0.002974 0.003908 0.005299 0.007392 0.011012
2025-06-15 0.001803 0.002278 0.002911 0.003846 0.005250 0.007385 0.011126
2025-06-22 0.001753 0.002224 0.002853 0.003789 0.005206 0.007382 0.011248
2025-06-29 0.001728 0.002201 0.002840 0.003797 0.005260 0.007539 0.011657